Today’s (10/5) Polls

Today is the fifty-sixth day of Romney-Ryan, the ticket time forgot. Five days are left until the vice-presidential debate and thirty-two days until Election Day. The majority of students voting in the two-day referendum unfortunately voted against renaming the University of Florida’s student union after the integration hero Virgil Hawkins. Supporters, despite the loss, seem to think they won enough votes to continue.

Meanwhile, the Dog Torturer, after basking in the glow of his  “win” Wednesday night, has, since yesterday morning, been continually blasted halfway to Alpha Centauri for his debate  prevarications. In other words, he is getting payback. In fact I was thinking that the president’s strategy might have been to give Mitt Etch-A-Sketch enough rope to hang himself with. If so, it may just be working. Only time will tell.

Even if it doesn’t work, he and the country have verified goof news today. The U.S. unemployment rate (not seasonally adjusted) fell to 7.8%, the lowest since President Obama took office, according to the Department of Labor. They report that 114,000 jobs were added in September. The number of people looking for work did NOT decline, so this improvement is real. While we are celebrating, here are today’s presidential tracking polls:

  • Race

Rasmussen  lv3d: Obama 49%*, Romney 47%*, some other candidate 1%

Gallup          rv7d : Obama 49%           ,  Romney 45%

  • Presidential Approval

Rasmussen  lv3d: Approve 50% (29%**), Disapprove 48% (40%**)

Gallup           rv3d: Approve 52%                , Disapprove 43%

lv = likely voters, rv = registered voters, 3d = 3-day, 7d = 7-day

No bounce for Romney in the Rasmussen poll with1 out of three days after the debate, but Rasmussen says on its sight that Thursday’s one-day numbers show “improvement” for the Dog Torturer, but whether this is “noise” is uncertain. The Gallup seven-day race measure shows Romney going up by one, but that is not significant. Whether Romney will get a bounce from his absurd debate performance is still unclear, so keep calling him on the falsehoods spewed that night.

Today’s (10/3) Polls

Today is the fifty-first day of Romney-Ryan, the ticket time forgot, and thirty-four days are left until Election Day. The first presidential debate is tonight. We will finally see if the President can hold his own against the determined prevarications of the Bain Harvester.

The second day of voting is happening today in the student referendum on renaming the University of Florida’s student union after integration hero Virgil Hawkins. You students out there get out and vote yes.

While we are awaiting the debate and the results of the referendum, here are today’s presidential tracking polls:

  • Race

Rasmussen  lv3d: Obama 49%*, Romney 47%*, some other candidate 1%

Gallup          rv7d : Obama 49%           ,  Romney 45%

  • Presidential Approval

Rasmussen  lv3d: Approve 49% (29%**), Disapprove 50% (41%**)

Gallup           rv3d: Approve 50%                , Disapprove 44%

lv = likely voters, rv = registered voters, 3d = 3-day, 7d = 7-day

Today’s (10/2) Polls

Today is the first of two days of the student referendum on renaming the University of Florida’s student union after integration hero Virgil Hawkins. If you are a UF student, vote yes.

Meanwhile, five weeks, thirty-five days, are left until election day. The first presidential debate is tomorrow. The Dog Torturer’s desperation and low expectations make this a tough one for the president  to win. Therefore, we must cheer him on but not expect too much. After all, this talk that Romney does not want to be president is incredibly premature at best.

Looking ahead, next Monday is Native American Day (or Indigenous Peoples Day), still officially observed as Columbus Day. Let us celebrate Native Americans, the people who were here for millennia, rather than the first European to stumble onto this continent. In the context of the whole history of this country, here are today’s presidential tracking polls:

  • Race

Rasmussen  lv3d: Obama 48%*, Romney 47%*, some other candidate 1%

Gallup          rv7d : Obama 50%           ,  Romney 44%

  • Presidential Approval

Rasmussen  lv3d: Approve 48% (28%**), Disapprove 51% (40%**)

Gallup           rv3d: Approve 48%                , Disapprove 45%n

  • Generic Congressional Ballot

Rasmussen  lv7d: Republican 45, Democrat 41

lv = likely voters, rv = registered voters, 3d = 3-day, 7d = 7-day

The president is up by six in Gallup and 5 (50%=45%) in the Rasmussen swing state poll, which is also 7-day. Also, Gallup pegs unemployment at  7.8%. Since it was at 7.8% or 7.9% many days last month, the rate may come in below 8% in the September jobs report on Friday. Now, if the debate will just have nothing go wrong …

Today’s (10/1) Polls

Today is the first day of October, the start of the Halloween season. It is also unfortunately the fifty-second day of Romney-Ryan, the ticket that time forgot. Thirty-six days are left until Election Day, two until the first presidential debate, and tomorrow is the first day of the two-day student referendum on renaming of the University of Florida’s student union after integration hero Virgil Hawkins. Hispanic Heritage Month, which started September 15, continues until October 15. With that in mind, here are today’s presidential tracking polls:

 

  • Race

Rasmussen  lv3d: Obama 50%*, Romney 47%*, some other candidate 2%

Gallup          rv7d : Obama 49%           ,  Romney 45%

  • Presidential Approval

Rasmussen  lv3d: Approve 49% (28%**), Disapprove 49% (41%**)

Gallup           rv3d: Approve 47%                , Disapprove 46%

lv = likely voters, rv = registered voters, 3d = 3-day, 7d = 7-day

Rasmussen is showing only the results with leaners today, and the president is at 50%. This a good thing, because they report that 10% of the uncommitted voters believe that the country is headed in the right direction and 24% approve of President Obama. This just bears out what political scientists were saying in 1996 when they correctly predicted Dole would get all the remaining undecided vote, that undecided voters are anti-incumbent voters. Still, being at 50% in a poll with a heavily Republican weighted sample is a very good position to be in. How can the Republicans claim of bias against Romney? That their “corrected” polls are more weighted toward Republicans than even Rasmussen is hugely saying something!

One last note is that we should not get over confident about the debate. Romney has the expectations on his side (he is considered the underdog, presumably because of his bumbling in the campaign thus far), he has been practicing longer than the president, and he was extremely fierce in the primaries in the important debates. Despite the poor quality of the competition then, this should warn us that this jerk can perform well and intensely so when he needs to. Make no mistake he is not stupid and he wants this election so badly that he can taste it. So let us all be wary!

Today’s (9/28) Polls

Today is the forty-ninth day that the Romney-Ryan ticket has been hanging over this country like a sword of Damocles. Thirty-nine days are left until the election, five until the first presidential debate, and four until the first day of the two-day student referendum on renaming the University of Florida’s student union after integration hero Virgil Hawkins.

The annual Pride Parade and Festival are taking place tomorrow in downtown Gainesville. The parade  starts in the 700 block of  West University Avenue (Ayers Medical Plaza, Wild Iris Books) at noon and ends at the Downtown Plaza, where the festival starts at 1:00 P.M.  National Coming Out Day is October 11.

Hispanic Heritage Month, which started September 15 and ends October 15, continues. We should celebrate it by ever more fervently opposing SB 1070 and other anti-immigration laws. With thoughts of making this country more welcoming, here are today’s presidential tracking polls:

 

  • Race

Rasmussen  lv3d: Obama 47%(48%*), Romney 46%(48%*), some other candidate 3%

Gallup          rv7d : Obama 50%           ,  Romney 44%

 

  • Presidential Approval

Rasmussen  lv3d: Approve 48% (28%**), Disapprove 51% (43%**)

Gallup           rv3d: Approve 50%                , Disapprove 45%

lv = likely voters, rv = registered voters, 3d = 3-day, 7d = 7-day

* = with leaners added, ** = strong

Today’s (9/27) Polls

Today is the forty-eighth day of Romney-Ryan, the ticket that time forgot. We are, by the way, in the midst of Hispanic Heritage Month, which runs from the 15th of this month to October 15. Remember, Hispanic heritage is part of this country’s heritage.

Gainesville’s annual Pride Parade is at 12:00 on Saturday, starting at the Ayers Center on University Avenue. I and some of my fellow Unitarian Universalists will be marching. The Pride festival will follow at 1:00 p.m. at the Downtown Plaza.

Meanwhile, forty days are left until Election Day, six until the first presidential debate, and five until the first day of the two-day student referendum on renaming the University of Florida’s student union after integration hero Virgil Hawkins.

With early voting starting in five more states, Alabama, Illinois, Iowa, North Dakota, and Wyoming, here are today’s presidential tracking polls:

  • Race

Rasmussen lv3d: Obama 46% (48%*), Romney 46% (48%*), some other candidate 4%

Gallup          rv7d: Obama 50%            , Romney 44%

  • Presidential Approval

Rasmussen  lv3d: Approve 48% (28%**), Disapprove 51% (42%**)

Gallup           rv3d: Approve 50%                , Disapprove 44%

lv = likely voters, rv = registered voters, 3d = 3-day, 7d = 7-day

* = with leaners added, ** = strong

Todays (9/26) Polls

Today is unofficially the first day of Autumn (Fall). Officially, the season starts September 22, but technically the first day of Autumn is the day when the length of daylight is equal to the length of  night, 12 hours each. That did not happen until today, for which sunrise in Gainesville is 7:20 A.M. and sunset is 7:20 P.M. Yom Kippur, the Jewish day of atonement and holiest day of the year is also today.Finally, today is also the forty-seventh day of the definitely not holy Romney-Ryan ticket. 41 days are left until election day, seven until the first presidential debate, and six until the first day of the student referendum on renaming the University of Florida’s student union after integration hero Virgil Hawkins. Twenty-four states have begun early voting (absentee ballots). Early voting (in person) begins in Florida on October 27. In the meantime, here are the first daily presidential tracking polls of the fall:

  • Race

Rasmussen lv3d : Romney 46% (48%*), Obama    46% (46%*), some other candidate 3%

Gallup         rv7d  : Obama  50%              ,  Romney 44%

  • Presidential Approval

Rasmussen lv3d : Approve 48% (26%#), Disapprove 51% (43%#)

Gallup         rv3d  : Approve 51%               , Disapprove 43%

lv = likely voters; rv = registered voters; 3d = three-day average; 7d = seven-day average; * = with leaners added; # = strong;

The president continues to slide in Rasmussen while he gains in Gallup. Both turnout and Rasmussen ‘s conservative bias seem to be at work. Rasmussen’s swing state poll has him up by two, though. People in those states must be paying more attention than those in the other states and the president is evidently winning the campaign.

Today’s (9/25) Polls

Today is the forty-sixth day of the regressive Romney-Ryan ticket. Today is National Voter Registration Day. Forty-two days are left until election day, 8 until the first presidential debate, and seven student referendum on renaming the University of Florida’s student union after integration hero Virgil Hawkins.

Early voting has begun in 24 states and will begin in five more on Tuesday. It will begin in Florida on October 27. While all these ballots are already being cast, here are today’s presidential tracking polls:

  • Race

Rasmussen: Obama 47% (47%), Romney 46% (47%), some other candidate 3%

Gallup:        : Obama 48%           , Romney 45%

  • Presidential Approval

Rasmussen: Approve 48% (27%), Disapprove 51% (43%)

Gallup         : Approve 50%            , Disapprove 43%

 

All sorts of polls have the president winning in key battleground states. In fact, the Washington post has showing out showing him winning Ohio and Florida among likely voters (Someone besides Rasmussen has at last done a likely voter screen! Wow!)! Things are going amazingly well. Let us hope he does not get overconfident and let the debates change that. Meanwhile, let’s begin to get out the vote!!

Today’s (9/24) Polls

Today is the forty-fifth day of the reactionary Romney-Ryan ticket. Forty-three days are left until election day, nine until the first presidential debate, thirty-three before early voting starts in Alachua County (Gainesville, Florida), and eight until the first day of the student referendum on renaming the University of Florida’s student union after integration hero Virgil Hawkins. Tomorrow is National Voter Registration Day. Meanwhile, the mornings are becoming cooler here in Gainesville. In anticipation of another brisk morning, here are today’s presidential tracking polls:

(note:

– Rasmussen polls are from samples of likely voters, Gallup polls are from samples of registered voters.

– Rasmussen’s race and approval polls are 3-day averages, but their generic congressional ballot is a seven-day average.

– Gallup’s race poll is a seven-day average and their approval poll is a three-day average.

– The numbers in parentheses in the Rasmussen race poll include leaners and those numbers in parentheses in their approval polls are the percentages of respondents who feel strongly.

  • Race

Rasmussen: Obama 47%(48%), Romney 46%(48%), some other candidate 3%

Gallup         : Obama 48%           , Romney 46%

  • Presidential Approval

Rasmussen: Approve 48%(29%), Disapprove 50%(42%)

Gallup         : Approve 51%            , Disapprove 42%

  • Generic Congressional Ballot

Rasmussen: Republicans 44%, Democrats 43%

 

Good news. The president is still at 51% approval in Gallup. Additionally, when the president and Democrats in congress are even in the rightward-leaning Rasmussen surveys, things are going well.

Today’s (9/23) Polls

Today is the forty-fourth day of the comical Romney-Ryan ticket. Nine days remain until the first day of the student referendum on renaming the University of Florida’s student union after integration hero Virgil Hawkins, ten until the first presidential debate, and 44 until Election Day. Tuesday is National Voter Registration Day. Today is Bisexuality Day so take time out to think about bisexuals and their struggle. Hopefully, equality is in their near future. For now, here are today’s presidential tracking polls:

(Note:

– The Rasmussen polls shown here three-day averages of likely voter samples

– The Gallup polls shown here are from registered voter samples.

– The Gallup race poll is a seven-day average.

– The Gallup approval poll is a three-day average.

– The numbers in parentheses in the Rasmussen race poll are with leaners included.

– The number in parentheses in the Rasmussen approval poll are those who feel strongly.)

  • Race

Rasmussen: Obama 46%(48%), Romney 46% (48%), some other candidate 3%

Gallup         : Obama 48%            , Romney 46%

  • Presidential Approval

Rasmussen: Approve 48%(31%), Disapprove 50% (42%)

Gallup         : Approve 51%.          , Disapprove 43%

 

The only notable change was a big jump in the president ‘s approval (and drop in disapproval) in Gallup. That firm has the unemployment rate at 7.8%. Let us hope it keeps dropping.