Today is the first day of October, the start of the Halloween season. It is also unfortunately the fifty-second day of Romney-Ryan, the ticket that time forgot. Thirty-six days are left until Election Day, two until the first presidential debate, and tomorrow is the first day of the two-day student referendum on renaming of the University of Florida’s student union after integration hero Virgil Hawkins. Hispanic Heritage Month, which started September 15, continues until October 15. With that in mind, here are today’s presidential tracking polls:
Rasmussen lv3d: Obama 50%*, Romney 47%*, some other candidate 2%
Gallup rv7d : Obama 49% , Romney 45%
- Presidential Approval
Rasmussen lv3d: Approve 49% (28%**), Disapprove 49% (41%**)
Gallup rv3d: Approve 47% , Disapprove 46%
lv = likely voters, rv = registered voters, 3d = 3-day, 7d = 7-day
Rasmussen is showing only the results with leaners today, and the president is at 50%. This a good thing, because they report that 10% of the uncommitted voters believe that the country is headed in the right direction and 24% approve of President Obama. This just bears out what political scientists were saying in 1996 when they correctly predicted Dole would get all the remaining undecided vote, that undecided voters are anti-incumbent voters. Still, being at 50% in a poll with a heavily Republican weighted sample is a very good position to be in. How can the Republicans claim of bias against Romney? That their “corrected” polls are more weighted toward Republicans than even Rasmussen is hugely saying something!
One last note is that we should not get over confident about the debate. Romney has the expectations on his side (he is considered the underdog, presumably because of his bumbling in the campaign thus far), he has been practicing longer than the president, and he was extremely fierce in the primaries in the important debates. Despite the poor quality of the competition then, this should warn us that this jerk can perform well and intensely so when he needs to. Make no mistake he is not stupid and he wants this election so badly that he can taste it. So let us all be wary!