Today’s (10/9) Polls

Today is the sixtieth day of Romney-Ryan, the ticket time forgot. One day is left until the vice-presidential debate and twenty-eight until Election Day. On Wednesday it will be Ryan v. Biden, the lie machine v. the gaffe machine. Meanwhile, progressives are defending Big Bird and PBS from Romney, who promised to defund it Wednesday night. While most of Sesame Street’s funding is from sources other than the federal government, state contributions and corporate donations might dry up without assurance or federal funds. Further, zero-funding PBS would likely eliminate the stations that Sesame Street and other PBS shows are broadcast on.

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Today’s (10/5) Polls

Today is the fifty-sixth day of Romney-Ryan, the ticket time forgot. Five days are left until the vice-presidential debate and thirty-two days until Election Day. The majority of students voting in the two-day referendum unfortunately voted against renaming the University of Florida’s student union after the integration hero Virgil Hawkins. Supporters, despite the loss, seem to think they won enough votes to continue.

Meanwhile, the Dog Torturer, after basking in the glow of his  “win” Wednesday night, has, since yesterday morning, been continually blasted halfway to Alpha Centauri for his debate  prevarications. In other words, he is getting payback. In fact I was thinking that the president’s strategy might have been to give Mitt Etch-A-Sketch enough rope to hang himself with. If so, it may just be working. Only time will tell.

Even if it doesn’t work, he and the country have verified goof news today. The U.S. unemployment rate (not seasonally adjusted) fell to 7.8%, the lowest since President Obama took office, according to the Department of Labor. They report that 114,000 jobs were added in September. The number of people looking for work did NOT decline, so this improvement is real. While we are celebrating, here are today’s presidential tracking polls:

  • Race

Rasmussen  lv3d: Obama 49%*, Romney 47%*, some other candidate 1%

Gallup          rv7d : Obama 49%           ,  Romney 45%

  • Presidential Approval

Rasmussen  lv3d: Approve 50% (29%**), Disapprove 48% (40%**)

Gallup           rv3d: Approve 52%                , Disapprove 43%

lv = likely voters, rv = registered voters, 3d = 3-day, 7d = 7-day

No bounce for Romney in the Rasmussen poll with1 out of three days after the debate, but Rasmussen says on its sight that Thursday’s one-day numbers show “improvement” for the Dog Torturer, but whether this is “noise” is uncertain. The Gallup seven-day race measure shows Romney going up by one, but that is not significant. Whether Romney will get a bounce from his absurd debate performance is still unclear, so keep calling him on the falsehoods spewed that night.

Presidential Debate 1 Live Blog

It is 9:01 P.M. of time for the debate.

Jim Lehrer is talking now. Three segments on the economy out of four. Hmmmmm.

Here they come. They are the same height. Romney has makeup on, he looks younger than usual.

The president goes first. He begins by mentioning his anniversary. He appears to be a little tight. He advocates reducing the deficit “in a balanced way.” That is new.

Now here is the Dog Torturer. He denied his plan is ” top-down cut taxes for the rich”! Is he kidding?! He laid down a plan. He started out trying to be personable, but got tight.

Back to the president. He advocates rewarding companies who invest in this country. Also cites agreements with Romney, but

Romney is talking to the president. “Middle income families are being crushed.” He claims all the increase in oil production is on private land. Says he likes coal. Is he worried about losing West Virginia???

The president counters by saying he cut taxes on the middle class.

Romney cut in on Lehrer and is forcefully denying what President Obama said about his tax plan. Romney actually says he will not lower taxes on the rich if it raise the deficit? what a reversal.

The president is calling him on it! Good! Not as forceful as Romney, though. Now he is invoking Bungalow Bill (Clinton).

Romney weasels another rebuttal, even Lehrer said they were running over time.

Obama replies, but, again, not as aggressive as Bain Man.

Romney accuse the president of wanting to raise taxes, so what else is new? No he is saying he will make government more efficient. Says Obama raised debt more than the past three presidents combined. Misleading!

Back to the president. He says he inherited a big deficit. Cite his online deficit reduction plan. Mentions  Simpson- Bowles. Makes Romney let him finish.

Romney afoul Obama for not “grabbing” S-B. Obama interrupts briefly.

Romney spewed off a long, aggressive, misleading narrative. President Obama, who is much too passive, is finally. Once again, he is not trying to refute Romney.

Back to Romney again.  Now he says he is not proposing changes for retires, trots out the false accusation that Obama cut Medicare. Same strategy as in the debate with Gingrich: be aggressive and flood his opponent with lies.

The president is trying to counter.

Romney is reiterating his nonsense.

The president is countering and improving.

Romney tries to give a lecture on regulation. Chortle! Now a one-sided attack on Dodd-Frank (banking bill).

Obama defends Dodd-Frank.

Romney is losing his aggression. This back-and-forth has gone on so long it is boring.

Now health care. More Romney nonsense.  Think he is trying to spew out so much that no one will be amble to fact check it all.

Back to Obama who still needs energy. He is trying to defend and explain the Affordable Care Act.

Both mentioned Massachusetts.

Now Romney is saying his plan was bipartisan and Obama did not get a Republican vote.He is claiming people will lose their insurance.

The president points out that the unelected board Romney referred to is composed of doctors and experts, but does not counter accusation that ACA will cause people to lose their insurance. Now he says costs will and are coming down. Points out that 50 million will lose insurance upon repeal.

Back or Romney nonsense.  R: board tells people what treatments to have

O: that is prohibited by law.

Romney going on and on aggressively again.

Now role of gov. starting with O. Says we should hire more teachers.

R: states should decide on teachers.

Back to O. Both are talking fast. O is still not as aggressive as R. Or as clear, probably because R’s charges cannot be answered simply.

O is ending better, more aggressive. He even got off a zinger on “Obamacare”.

R goes last. He has been more aggressive, but not more human.

 

This was the most substantive debate in my memory, but the Dog Torturer still marred with his strategy and his lies. For shame, Governor.

Today’s (10/3) Polls

Today is the fifty-first day of Romney-Ryan, the ticket time forgot, and thirty-four days are left until Election Day. The first presidential debate is tonight. We will finally see if the President can hold his own against the determined prevarications of the Bain Harvester.

The second day of voting is happening today in the student referendum on renaming the University of Florida’s student union after integration hero Virgil Hawkins. You students out there get out and vote yes.

While we are awaiting the debate and the results of the referendum, here are today’s presidential tracking polls:

  • Race

Rasmussen  lv3d: Obama 49%*, Romney 47%*, some other candidate 1%

Gallup          rv7d : Obama 49%           ,  Romney 45%

  • Presidential Approval

Rasmussen  lv3d: Approve 49% (29%**), Disapprove 50% (41%**)

Gallup           rv3d: Approve 50%                , Disapprove 44%

lv = likely voters, rv = registered voters, 3d = 3-day, 7d = 7-day

Today’s (10/2) Polls

Today is the first of two days of the student referendum on renaming the University of Florida’s student union after integration hero Virgil Hawkins. If you are a UF student, vote yes.

Meanwhile, five weeks, thirty-five days, are left until election day. The first presidential debate is tomorrow. The Dog Torturer’s desperation and low expectations make this a tough one for the president  to win. Therefore, we must cheer him on but not expect too much. After all, this talk that Romney does not want to be president is incredibly premature at best.

Looking ahead, next Monday is Native American Day (or Indigenous Peoples Day), still officially observed as Columbus Day. Let us celebrate Native Americans, the people who were here for millennia, rather than the first European to stumble onto this continent. In the context of the whole history of this country, here are today’s presidential tracking polls:

  • Race

Rasmussen  lv3d: Obama 48%*, Romney 47%*, some other candidate 1%

Gallup          rv7d : Obama 50%           ,  Romney 44%

  • Presidential Approval

Rasmussen  lv3d: Approve 48% (28%**), Disapprove 51% (40%**)

Gallup           rv3d: Approve 48%                , Disapprove 45%n

  • Generic Congressional Ballot

Rasmussen  lv7d: Republican 45, Democrat 41

lv = likely voters, rv = registered voters, 3d = 3-day, 7d = 7-day

The president is up by six in Gallup and 5 (50%=45%) in the Rasmussen swing state poll, which is also 7-day. Also, Gallup pegs unemployment at  7.8%. Since it was at 7.8% or 7.9% many days last month, the rate may come in below 8% in the September jobs report on Friday. Now, if the debate will just have nothing go wrong …

Today’s (10/1) Polls

Today is the first day of October, the start of the Halloween season. It is also unfortunately the fifty-second day of Romney-Ryan, the ticket that time forgot. Thirty-six days are left until Election Day, two until the first presidential debate, and tomorrow is the first day of the two-day student referendum on renaming of the University of Florida’s student union after integration hero Virgil Hawkins. Hispanic Heritage Month, which started September 15, continues until October 15. With that in mind, here are today’s presidential tracking polls:

 

  • Race

Rasmussen  lv3d: Obama 50%*, Romney 47%*, some other candidate 2%

Gallup          rv7d : Obama 49%           ,  Romney 45%

  • Presidential Approval

Rasmussen  lv3d: Approve 49% (28%**), Disapprove 49% (41%**)

Gallup           rv3d: Approve 47%                , Disapprove 46%

lv = likely voters, rv = registered voters, 3d = 3-day, 7d = 7-day

Rasmussen is showing only the results with leaners today, and the president is at 50%. This a good thing, because they report that 10% of the uncommitted voters believe that the country is headed in the right direction and 24% approve of President Obama. This just bears out what political scientists were saying in 1996 when they correctly predicted Dole would get all the remaining undecided vote, that undecided voters are anti-incumbent voters. Still, being at 50% in a poll with a heavily Republican weighted sample is a very good position to be in. How can the Republicans claim of bias against Romney? That their “corrected” polls are more weighted toward Republicans than even Rasmussen is hugely saying something!

One last note is that we should not get over confident about the debate. Romney has the expectations on his side (he is considered the underdog, presumably because of his bumbling in the campaign thus far), he has been practicing longer than the president, and he was extremely fierce in the primaries in the important debates. Despite the poor quality of the competition then, this should warn us that this jerk can perform well and intensely so when he needs to. Make no mistake he is not stupid and he wants this election so badly that he can taste it. So let us all be wary!

Today’s (9/30) Polls

Today is the fifty-first day of Romney-Ryan, The Ticket Time Forgot. Thirty-seven days are left until election day, twenty-seven until early voting starts in Florida, three until the first presidential debate, and two until the first day of the two-day student referendum on renaming the University of Florida’s student union after integration hero Virgil Hawkins.

Yesterday I took part in the Pride March and Pride Festival here in Gainesville. The weather was sunny and beautiful and we had a big turnout as usual. The festival, which is held on the downtown plaza that is named after music legend Bo Diddley, was packed. Wild Iris books had a Pride brunch beforehand, where I had a muffin. The atmosphere was wonderful. The Unitarian Universalist Fellowship of Gainesville had a float, which I walked behind, and we all wore bright yellow t-shirts that proclaimed that we were “standing on the side of love”. In that spirt of caring, here are today’s presidential tracking polls:

  • Race

Rasmussen  lv3d: Obama 48%(49%*), Romney 46%(47%*), some other candidate 3%

Gallup          rv7d : Obama 49%           ,  Romney 44%

  • Presidential Approval

Rasmussen  lv3d: Approve 50% (28%**), Disapprove 49% (42%**)

Gallup           rv3d: Approve 46%                , Disapprove 46%

lv = likely voters, rv = registered voters, 3d = 3-day, 7d = 7-day

The president’s apporval is at 50% in Rasmussen, but dropped to 46% in Gallup.

* = with leaners added, ** = strong

 

Things are looking good for the president. The fact that he polls more against Romney than his approval in Gallup indicates that some of his support is still soft. His lead over Romney and 50% approval in the rightward-leaning Rasmussen indicated that his supporters are at least as fired up as Romney’s. Also, Rasmuseen has President Obama up four in the 11-state Swing State measure. Most notable is that after Romney held larges edges, 43% are certain to vote for him and 42% for the president. To be even in certain voters with Rasmussen’s sample is saying something.