Today is the the thirty-second day of the farcical Ryan candidacy. Eight weeks left before this year’s crucial elections. It is a quiet, partly cloudy day in Gainesville. The vote on naming the University of Florida’s J. Wayne Reitz Union after Virgil Hawkins, who was the university’s Jackie Robinson, is a non-binding student referendum that will take place October 2-3. The proposal therefore has a long way to go, but at least the ball is rolling. In the meantime, here are today’s presidential tracking polls:
- Race
Rasmussen: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (likely voters)(3-day)
Gallup : Obama 50%, Romney 44% (registered voters)(7-day)
- Presidential Approval
Rasmussen: Approve 52%(Strong 30%),Disapprove 47%(Strong 40%)(likely voters)(3-day)
Gallup : Approve 50%, Disapprove 43% (registered voters)(3-day)
- Generic Congressional Approval
Rasmussen: Democrat 44%, Republican 42% (likely voters)(7-day)
Things are still going well. The president’s lead has dropped to 3% in Rasmussen, though, and he is back under 50%. They claim that his bounce has weakened and note that, with leaners,, his lead is 49-47. President Obama’s approval is unchanged from last week. That would mean that all his disapprovers are at least leaning Romney, but 3% of the 52% approvers are undecided, not even leaning toward the president. This is strange.
The Gallup polls, however, are essentially unchanged, although he has hit the 50% mark in approval. Both polling outfits thus seem to agree that his approval bounce has not dissipated. The seven-day race poll, which replaces last Monday with this Monday compared to yesterday’s measure, shows a one point uptick for Obama, suggesting the survival of some sort of bounce.
Finally, we have some good news. The bounce has extended to the legislative level: the Democrats have at least taken a lead, albeit small, in Rasmussen’s generic ballot. So much for the enthusiasm gap, at least for now.
Potano's Garden 